RTX (RTX) seasonality: returns by month

RTX (RTX) has averaged +3.2% in October and −1.9% in September since 2000, the best and worst months. Every month's average is shown below with how often it rose, so a single big year can't hide.

RTX returns by calendar month since 2000

RTX return statistics by calendar month
MonthAverageMedianRose inBestWorst
January+2.0%+1.7%65% of 26 yrs+11.4% 2025−10.5% 2009
February+1.3%+2.4%59% of 27 yrs+14.5% 2022−14.2% 2009
March0.0%−0.3%41% of 27 yrs+24.1% 2000−27.8% 2020
April+2.3%+2.0%63% of 27 yrs+13.6% 2009−8.7% 2026
May+1.1%+0.8%56% of 27 yrs+10.9% 2003−10.9% 2019
June−0.7%+0.2%52% of 27 yrs+8.1% 2004−13.1% 2008
July+1.8%+2.2%59% of 27 yrs+17.0% 2024−10.2% 2023
August−0.3%−0.5%48% of 27 yrs+9.7% 2009−14.2% 2002
September−1.9%−2.0%41% of 27 yrs+11.1% 2000−32.0% 2001
October+3.2%+2.2%65% of 26 yrs+15.9% 2001−11.2% 2018
November+2.8%+1.7%69% of 26 yrs+33.0% 2020−11.0% 2008
December+2.6%+2.9%77% of 26 yrs+11.0% 2000−12.6% 2018

Month-end closes adjusted for splits and dividends, through the October 14, 2026 close. Source: Yahoo Finance chart API, monthly close adjusted for splits and dividends. Excludes taxes, fees and inflation. Methodology

Past returns don't repeat. What does the price assume now?

These tables show what already happened. A buyer today gets the next ten years, and the price already reflects what the market expects. The reverse DCF calculator shows the growth today's price implies, so you can judge whether it is realistic.

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Frequently asked questions

What is the best month for RTX?

October, with an average return of +3.2% since 2000. It rose in 65% of Octobers (26 years).

What is the worst month for RTX?

September, averaging −1.9% and rising in 41% of years.

Is it a good idea to time purchases by month?

Usually not. Each month has only about 26 observations here, one big year can swing an average, and the gaps between months are small next to a single year's range. Seasonality is a curiosity, not a trading signal.

How are the monthly returns calculated?

Each month's return runs from the previous month-end close to that month's close, using prices adjusted for splits and dividends. The current, unfinished month is left out.

The math is easy. The macro is hard.

RTX shows the arithmetic. Members get the monthly call that decides which inputs matter, plus written breakpoints when the facts move. $39/month or $249/year.

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