HCA Healthcare (HCA) seasonality: returns by month

HCA Healthcare (HCA) has averaged +6.4% in January and +0.2% in April since 2011, the best and worst months. Every month's average is shown below with how often it rose, so a single big year can't hide.

HCA Healthcare returns by calendar month since 2011

HCA return statistics by calendar month
MonthAverageMedianRose inBestWorst
January+6.4%+6.3%73% of 15 yrs+24.8% 2013−6.6% 2022
February+1.8%+1.0%60% of 15 yrs+17.7% 2012−8.2% 2020
March+1.0%+2.5%67% of 15 yrs+13.1% 2025−29.3% 2020
April+0.2%−1.5%31% of 16 yrs+22.3% 2020−14.4% 2022
May+0.8%−2.0%44% of 16 yrs+10.6% 2015−12.9% 2026
June+1.2%+0.1%50% of 16 yrs+17.1% 2012−19.9% 2022
July+5.1%+2.9%63% of 16 yrs+30.5% 2020−19.2% 2011
August+0.3%+1.8%56% of 16 yrs+14.1% 2025−24.9% 2011
September+0.4%+0.8%69% of 16 yrs+16.5% 2012−11.1% 2023
October+1.3%−0.5%47% of 15 yrs+18.3% 2022−11.7% 2024
November+4.3%+4.1%60% of 15 yrs+21.1% 2020−9.9% 2021
December+1.1%+2.8%67% of 15 yrs+14.1% 2021−13.6% 2018

Month-end closes adjusted for splits and dividends, through the October 14, 2026 close. Source: Yahoo Finance chart API, monthly close adjusted for splits and dividends. Excludes taxes, fees and inflation. Methodology

Past returns don't repeat. What does the price assume now?

These tables show what already happened. A buyer today gets the next ten years, and the price already reflects what the market expects. The reverse DCF calculator shows the growth today's price implies, so you can judge whether it is realistic.

Learn to research a stock in our free first lesson

Frequently asked questions

What is the best month for HCA Healthcare?

January, with an average return of +6.4% since 2011. It rose in 73% of Januarys (15 years).

What is the worst month for HCA Healthcare?

April, averaging +0.2% and rising in 31% of years.

Is it a good idea to time purchases by month?

Usually not. Each month has only about 15 observations here, one big year can swing an average, and the gaps between months are small next to a single year's range. Seasonality is a curiosity, not a trading signal.

How are the monthly returns calculated?

Each month's return runs from the previous month-end close to that month's close, using prices adjusted for splits and dividends. The current, unfinished month is left out.

The math is easy. The macro is hard.

HCA Healthcare shows the arithmetic. Members get the monthly call that decides which inputs matter, plus written breakpoints when the facts move. $39/month or $249/year.

$39/mo or $249/yr · cancel future renewals anytime · sources included