General Motors (GM) seasonality: returns by month

General Motors (GM) has averaged +8.4% in October and −2.8% in March since 2010, the best and worst months. Every month's average is shown below with how often it rose, so a single big year can't hide.

General Motors returns by calendar month since 2010

GM return statistics by calendar month
MonthAverageMedianRose inBestWorst
January+2.1%+1.1%50% of 16 yrs+21.7% 2021−12.8% 2016
February−1.0%−0.7%44% of 16 yrs+14.4% 2015−11.4% 2022
March−2.8%−4.1%31% of 16 yrs+11.9% 2021−31.0% 2020
April−1.0%−0.1%50% of 16 yrs+10.9% 2013−13.3% 2022
May+2.8%+1.5%63% of 16 yrs+16.2% 2018−14.4% 2019
June−1.1%−2.0%31% of 16 yrs+19.3% 2023−17.9% 2022
July+1.8%−0.3%44% of 16 yrs+15.3% 2026−8.8% 2011
August−0.4%−0.8%50% of 16 yrs+19.0% 2020−13.8% 2021
September−1.6%+0.3%50% of 16 yrs+11.6% 2017−16.0% 2011
October+8.4%+8.7%73% of 15 yrs+28.1% 2011−14.5% 2023
November+4.9%+4.8%87% of 15 yrs+27.0% 2020−17.6% 2011
December+0.6%+1.7%56% of 16 yrs+13.7% 2023−16.9% 2022

Month-end closes adjusted for splits and dividends, through the October 14, 2026 close. Source: Yahoo Finance chart API, monthly close adjusted for splits and dividends. Excludes taxes, fees and inflation. Methodology

Past returns don't repeat. What does the price assume now?

These tables show what already happened. A buyer today gets the next ten years, and the price already reflects what the market expects. The reverse DCF calculator shows the growth today's price implies, so you can judge whether it is realistic.

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Frequently asked questions

What is the best month for General Motors?

October, with an average return of +8.4% since 2010. It rose in 73% of Octobers (15 years).

What is the worst month for General Motors?

March, averaging −2.8% and rising in 31% of years.

Is it a good idea to time purchases by month?

Usually not. Each month has only about 15 observations here, one big year can swing an average, and the gaps between months are small next to a single year's range. Seasonality is a curiosity, not a trading signal.

How are the monthly returns calculated?

Each month's return runs from the previous month-end close to that month's close, using prices adjusted for splits and dividends. The current, unfinished month is left out.

The math is easy. The macro is hard.

General Motors shows the arithmetic. Members get the monthly call that decides which inputs matter, plus written breakpoints when the facts move. $39/month or $249/year.

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