Fortinet (FTNT) seasonality: returns by month

Fortinet (FTNT) has averaged +7.7% in February and −0.1% in September since 2009, the best and worst months. Every month's average is shown below with how often it rose, so a single big year can't hide.

Fortinet returns by calendar month since 2009

FTNT return statistics by calendar month
MonthAverageMedianRose inBestWorst
January+4.2%+6.8%71% of 17 yrs+18.9% 2011−17.3% 2022
February+7.7%+9.2%82% of 17 yrs+18.6% 2012−11.5% 2020
March+2.0%+2.3%59% of 17 yrs+11.8% 2023−10.9% 2025
April+0.7%+3.2%65% of 17 yrs+11.3% 2019−24.2% 2013
May+5.0%+2.2%65% of 17 yrs+63.6% 2026−22.4% 2019
June+3.2%+3.2%71% of 17 yrs+12.6% 2011−9.1% 2013
July+3.2%+3.4%71% of 17 yrs+21.4% 2013−25.5% 2011
August+1.8%+3.5%53% of 17 yrs+33.1% 2018−22.5% 2023
September−0.1%+0.8%53% of 17 yrs+22.7% 2010−12.2% 2011
October+2.5%+2.1%56% of 16 yrs+37.3% 2011−19.7% 2012
November+2.4%+3.6%56% of 16 yrs+28.9% 2019−15.1% 2013
December+2.4%+1.6%65% of 17 yrs+20.5% 2020−13.5% 2015

Month-end closes adjusted for splits and dividends, through the October 14, 2026 close. Source: Yahoo Finance chart API, monthly close adjusted for splits and dividends. Excludes taxes, fees and inflation. Methodology

Past returns don't repeat. What does the price assume now?

These tables show what already happened. A buyer today gets the next ten years, and the price already reflects what the market expects. The reverse DCF calculator shows the growth today's price implies, so you can judge whether it is realistic.

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Frequently asked questions

What is the best month for Fortinet?

February, with an average return of +7.7% since 2009. It rose in 82% of Februarys (17 years).

What is the worst month for Fortinet?

September, averaging −0.1% and rising in 53% of years.

Is it a good idea to time purchases by month?

Usually not. Each month has only about 17 observations here, one big year can swing an average, and the gaps between months are small next to a single year's range. Seasonality is a curiosity, not a trading signal.

How are the monthly returns calculated?

Each month's return runs from the previous month-end close to that month's close, using prices adjusted for splits and dividends. The current, unfinished month is left out.

The math is easy. The macro is hard.

Fortinet shows the arithmetic. Members get the monthly call that decides which inputs matter, plus written breakpoints when the facts move. $39/month or $249/year.

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