DexCom (DXCM) seasonality: returns by month

DexCom (DXCM) has averaged +8.4% in August and −4.3% in September since 2005, the best and worst months. Every month's average is shown below with how often it rose, so a single big year can't hide.

DexCom returns by calendar month since 2005

DXCM return statistics by calendar month
MonthAverageMedianRose inBestWorst
January+6.8%+10.0%71% of 21 yrs+32.6% 2017−19.8% 2022
February+0.6%−1.2%43% of 21 yrs+25.4% 2009−12.4% 2008
March+0.9%+2.6%57% of 21 yrs+32.1% 2018−43.8% 2008
April+5.4%+1.7%57% of 21 yrs+86.0% 2008−21.6% 2014
May+3.9%+1.3%59% of 22 yrs+40.0% 2005−27.1% 2022
June+5.2%+8.7%73% of 22 yrs+24.8% 2007−30.2% 2006
July−0.4%−2.0%45% of 22 yrs+23.9% 2026−40.2% 2024
August+8.4%+9.3%77% of 22 yrs+51.8% 2018−18.9% 2023
September−4.3%−3.5%27% of 22 yrs+13.0% 2012−34.4% 2017
October−3.2%−7.0%38% of 21 yrs+50.0% 2022−27.0% 2008
November+3.3%+2.0%57% of 21 yrs+47.4% 2019−55.8% 2008
December+4.5%+3.9%57% of 21 yrs+38.0% 2008−12.4% 2006

Month-end closes adjusted for splits and dividends, through the October 14, 2026 close. Source: Yahoo Finance chart API, monthly close adjusted for splits and dividends. Excludes taxes, fees and inflation. Methodology

Past returns don't repeat. What does the price assume now?

These tables show what already happened. A buyer today gets the next ten years, and the price already reflects what the market expects. The reverse DCF calculator shows the growth today's price implies, so you can judge whether it is realistic.

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Frequently asked questions

What is the best month for DexCom?

August, with an average return of +8.4% since 2005. It rose in 77% of Augusts (22 years).

What is the worst month for DexCom?

September, averaging −4.3% and rising in 27% of years.

Is it a good idea to time purchases by month?

Usually not. Each month has only about 22 observations here, one big year can swing an average, and the gaps between months are small next to a single year's range. Seasonality is a curiosity, not a trading signal.

How are the monthly returns calculated?

Each month's return runs from the previous month-end close to that month's close, using prices adjusted for splits and dividends. The current, unfinished month is left out.

The math is easy. The macro is hard.

DexCom shows the arithmetic. Members get the monthly call that decides which inputs matter, plus written breakpoints when the facts move. $39/month or $249/year.

$39/mo or $249/yr · cancel future renewals anytime · sources included