Corteva (CTVA) seasonality: returns by month

Corteva (CTVA) has averaged +5.4% in February and −3.4% in September since 2019, the best and worst months. Every month's average is shown below with how often it rose, so a single big year can't hide.

Corteva returns by calendar month since 2019

CTVA return statistics by calendar month
MonthAverageMedianRose inBestWorst
January+4.3%+2.9%71% of 7 yrs+14.6% 2025−5.1% 2024
February+5.4%+8.5%57% of 7 yrs+18.0% 2024−5.9% 2020
March+1.4%+3.3%71% of 7 yrs+10.5% 2022−13.2% 2020
April+1.0%+0.4%57% of 7 yrs+11.4% 2020−6.1% 2024
May+1.3%+3.3%57% of 7 yrs+14.2% 2025−12.2% 2023
June+1.2%+1.8%50% of 8 yrs+9.6% 2019−13.5% 2022
July+0.2%−0.7%50% of 8 yrs+6.6% 2020−7.1% 2026
August+1.5%+2.5%75% of 8 yrs+7.5% 2026−10.2% 2023
September−3.4%−4.4%38% of 8 yrs+2.9% 2024−8.6% 2025
October+2.0%+2.5%57% of 7 yrs+14.5% 2020−9.2% 2025
November+4.2%+3.0%71% of 7 yrs+16.6% 2020−5.8% 2023
December+0.7%+1.0%57% of 7 yrs+13.6% 2019−12.5% 2022

Month-end closes adjusted for splits and dividends, through the October 14, 2026 close. Source: Yahoo Finance chart API, monthly close adjusted for splits and dividends. Excludes taxes, fees and inflation. Methodology

Past returns don't repeat. What does the price assume now?

These tables show what already happened. A buyer today gets the next ten years, and the price already reflects what the market expects. The reverse DCF calculator shows the growth today's price implies, so you can judge whether it is realistic.

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Frequently asked questions

What is the best month for Corteva?

February, with an average return of +5.4% since 2019. It rose in 57% of Februarys (7 years).

What is the worst month for Corteva?

September, averaging −3.4% and rising in 38% of years.

Is it a good idea to time purchases by month?

Usually not. Each month has only about 7 observations here, one big year can swing an average, and the gaps between months are small next to a single year's range. Seasonality is a curiosity, not a trading signal.

How are the monthly returns calculated?

Each month's return runs from the previous month-end close to that month's close, using prices adjusted for splits and dividends. The current, unfinished month is left out.

The math is easy. The macro is hard.

Corteva shows the arithmetic. Members get the monthly call that decides which inputs matter, plus written breakpoints when the facts move. $39/month or $249/year.

$39/mo or $249/yr · cancel future renewals anytime · sources included