Axon Enterprise (AXON) seasonality: returns by month

Axon Enterprise (AXON) has averaged +9.0% in November and −0.9% in July since 2001, the best and worst months. Every month's average is shown below with how often it rose, so a single big year can't hide.

Axon Enterprise returns by calendar month since 2001

AXON return statistics by calendar month
MonthAverageMedianRose inBestWorst
January+4.5%+1.8%56% of 25 yrs+62.1% 2004−43.2% 2005
February+2.9%+1.3%64% of 25 yrs+34.0% 2010−27.6% 2005
March+1.0%+1.3%60% of 25 yrs+43.9% 2004−22.4% 2010
April+3.0%+2.6%64% of 25 yrs+89.1% 2003−28.0% 2005
May+4.4%+1.6%52% of 25 yrs+51.7% 2018−17.8% 2014
June+4.6%+1.1%60% of 25 yrs+52.1% 2004−29.9% 2002
July−0.9%−0.6%50% of 26 yrs+56.2% 2003−59.7% 2002
August+5.4%+1.8%54% of 26 yrs+36.0% 2001−14.6% 2019
September+1.4%+0.4%54% of 26 yrs+36.1% 2004−28.7% 2005
October+8.6%+6.0%72% of 25 yrs+139% 2003−30.9% 2002
November+9.0%+8.3%64% of 25 yrs+52.8% 2024−29.6% 2018
December+2.4%+2.7%56% of 25 yrs+23.3% 2014−15.0% 2011

Month-end closes adjusted for splits and dividends, through the October 14, 2026 close. Source: Yahoo Finance chart API, monthly close adjusted for splits and dividends. Excludes taxes, fees and inflation. Methodology

Past returns don't repeat. What does the price assume now?

These tables show what already happened. A buyer today gets the next ten years, and the price already reflects what the market expects. The reverse DCF calculator shows the growth today's price implies, so you can judge whether it is realistic.

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Frequently asked questions

What is the best month for Axon Enterprise?

November, with an average return of +9.0% since 2001. It rose in 64% of Novembers (25 years).

What is the worst month for Axon Enterprise?

July, averaging −0.9% and rising in 50% of years.

Is it a good idea to time purchases by month?

Usually not. Each month has only about 25 observations here, one big year can swing an average, and the gaps between months are small next to a single year's range. Seasonality is a curiosity, not a trading signal.

How are the monthly returns calculated?

Each month's return runs from the previous month-end close to that month's close, using prices adjusted for splits and dividends. The current, unfinished month is left out.

The math is easy. The macro is hard.

Axon Enterprise shows the arithmetic. Members get the monthly call that decides which inputs matter, plus written breakpoints when the facts move. $39/month or $249/year.

$39/mo or $249/yr · cancel future renewals anytime · sources included