Marathon Petroleum (MPC) stock returns by year

Total return for Marathon Petroleum (MPC) in each calendar year since 2012, from one December close to the next, with dividends reinvested. 11 of 14 full years were positive. Marathon Petroleum beat the S&P 500 in 8 of those 14 years.

Marathon Petroleum total return by calendar year

MPC total return by calendar year
YearMPC total returnS&P 500 (SPY)Difference
2026 to date+202%+13.7%+188 pts
2025+19.2%+17.7%+1.5 pts
2024−4.1%+24.9%−28.9 pts
2023+30.5%+26.2%+4.3 pts
2022+86.6%−18.2%+105 pts
2021+61.0%+28.7%+32.3 pts
2020−27.4%+18.3%−45.7 pts
2019+6.0%+31.2%−25.2 pts
2018−8.2%−4.6%−3.7 pts
2017+34.8%+21.7%+13.1 pts
2016+0.7%+12.0%−11.3 pts
2015+17.4%+1.2%+16.1 pts
2014+0.5%+13.5%−13.0 pts
2013+48.6%+32.3%+16.3 pts
2012+94.2%+16.0%+78.3 pts

Month-end closes adjusted for splits and dividends, through the October 14, 2026 close. Source: Yahoo Finance chart API, monthly close adjusted for splits and dividends. Excludes taxes, fees and inflation. Methodology

Past returns don't repeat. What does the price assume now?

These tables show what already happened. A buyer today gets the next ten years, and the price already reflects what the market expects. The reverse DCF calculator shows the growth today's price implies, so you can judge whether it is realistic.

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Frequently asked questions

What was Marathon Petroleum's best year?

2012, with a total return of +94.2%. Its worst full year was 2020 at −27.4%.

How often has Marathon Petroleum gone up in a calendar year?

In 11 of the 14 full calendar years since 2012. It beat the S&P 500 (SPY) in 8 of those years.

How is Marathon Petroleum doing this year?

+202% from the end of 2025 to the October 14, 2026 close. The S&P 500 (SPY) returned +13.7% over the same stretch.

Do these returns include dividends?

Yes. Each year runs from one December month-end close to the next, using prices adjusted for splits and dividends, so dividends count as reinvested. Taxes, fees and inflation are not included.

The math is easy. The macro is hard.

Marathon Petroleum shows the arithmetic. Members get the monthly call that decides which inputs matter, plus written breakpoints when the facts move. $39/month or $249/year.

$39/mo or $249/yr · cancel future renewals anytime · sources included