Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) seasonality: returns by month

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has averaged +10.4% in November and −3.0% in September since 2000, the best and worst months. Every month's average is shown below with how often it rose, so a single big year can't hide.

Advanced Micro Devices returns by calendar month since 2000

AMD return statistics by calendar month
MonthAverageMedianRose inBestWorst
January+3.2%+0.5%50% of 26 yrs+78.1% 2001−28.2% 2005
February+2.0%−0.5%48% of 27 yrs+39.4% 2017−15.9% 2002
March+5.0%+2.4%59% of 27 yrs+49.4% 2000−18.3% 2008
April+4.8%+2.0%56% of 27 yrs+74.3% 2026−24.0% 2002
May+8.1%+2.7%59% of 27 yrs+45.6% 2026−17.4% 2012
June−1.2%+0.2%52% of 27 yrs+28.1% 2025−24.9% 2022
July−0.9%−5.3%48% of 27 yrs+47.2% 2020−36.8% 2001
August+4.4%+2.8%52% of 27 yrs+54.7% 2003−25.8% 2001
September−3.0%−2.7%33% of 27 yrs+30.0% 2026−39.9% 2001
October+0.2%−4.7%42% of 26 yrs+58.3% 2025−41.0% 2018
November+10.4%+12.0%65% of 26 yrs+52.4% 2009−32.6% 2000
December+1.2%−2.9%42% of 26 yrs+38.1% 2009−28.2% 2002

Month-end closes adjusted for splits and dividends, through the October 14, 2026 close. Source: Yahoo Finance chart API, monthly close adjusted for splits and dividends. Excludes taxes, fees and inflation. Methodology

Past returns don't repeat. What does the price assume now?

These tables show what already happened. A buyer today gets the next ten years, and the price already reflects what the market expects. The reverse DCF calculator shows the growth today's price implies, so you can judge whether it is realistic.

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Frequently asked questions

What is the best month for Advanced Micro Devices?

November, with an average return of +10.4% since 2000. It rose in 65% of Novembers (26 years).

What is the worst month for Advanced Micro Devices?

September, averaging −3.0% and rising in 33% of years.

Is it a good idea to time purchases by month?

Usually not. Each month has only about 26 observations here, one big year can swing an average, and the gaps between months are small next to a single year's range. Seasonality is a curiosity, not a trading signal.

How are the monthly returns calculated?

Each month's return runs from the previous month-end close to that month's close, using prices adjusted for splits and dividends. The current, unfinished month is left out.

The math is easy. The macro is hard.

Advanced Micro Devices shows the arithmetic. Members get the monthly call that decides which inputs matter, plus written breakpoints when the facts move. $39/month or $249/year.

$39/mo or $249/yr · cancel future renewals anytime · sources included