Yield Theory

GOOGL · AI infrastructure profile

Alphabet 2026 Capex Guidance: $195B–$205B (Raised July 22)

Alphabet raised 2026 capex guidance to $195 billion–$205 billion on July 22, from $180B–$190B. See Q2 spend of $44.9B, the server and data-center mix and depreciation.

Calendar 2026 guidance

$195B–$205B

Companywide capital expenditure. It is not a disclosed pure-AI total.

Reviewed
Evidence
3 external references · Method
2026 guidance
$195B–$205B
Calendar 2026
Q2 2026 capex
$44.9B
About 60% servers and 40% data centers and networking
Sources
3
Primary company materials
Reviewed
2026-09-25
Refresh after material guidance changes

Alphabet 2026 capex guidance

Alphabet now expects $195 billion to $205 billion of capital expenditure in 2026, more than double the $91.4 billion invested in 2025 at the midpoint. The range has been raised twice: $175 billion to $185 billion in February, $180 billion to $190 billion in April, and $195 billion to $205 billion on July 22, driven mainly by delivering capacity faster to meet demand. Q2 2026 capex was $44.9 billion, about 60% servers and 40% data centers and networking, and management expects 2027 capex to rise significantly. The spending supports Google Cloud, DeepMind, Search, advertising systems and other businesses.

What the number includes

Alphabet defines capital investment primarily around technical infrastructure and office facilities. The timing of supplier payments can move reported quarterly capex, and the company does not isolate one audited AI-capex line. Management expects just over half of 2026 machine-learning compute to be allocated to Google Cloud, but that allocation is a compute measure rather than a direct capex split.

  • Servers and machine-learning compute for Google Cloud, DeepMind and first-party services.
  • Long-duration data centers and networking equipment needed to deliver that compute.
  • Infrastructure supporting Search, YouTube, advertising systems and selected Other Bets alongside external Cloud demand.

How investors should read the spending

Alphabet's disclosed 60/40 infrastructure mix creates a useful bridge between near-term server deployment and long-lived construction. Servers may translate into capacity and depreciation sooner, while buildings and networks create a longer placement-in-service schedule. Investors should compare Cloud growth and backlog with the accelerating depreciation and data-center operating costs management has already flagged.

What to monitor next

  • Quarterly capex cadence relative to the $195 billion to $205 billion full-year range.
  • The server versus data-center and networking mix as infrastructure ramps.
  • Google Cloud growth, backlog and evidence that new capacity is relieving supply constraints.
  • Depreciation and data-center operating-cost growth across Alphabet's income statement.

Comparison limits

  • Alphabet does not publish a clean AI-only capital-expenditure measure.
  • The disclosed compute allocation is not the same as a dollar capex allocation.
  • Payment timing and the placement-in-service schedule can make quarterly capex and depreciation move differently.

Primary sources

Guidance can change each quarter. Yield Theory preserves the company's accounting definition and does not relabel the entire amount as AI spending. Read the research methodology for our sourcing and correction standards.

The capex number is the start of the thesis.

Alphabet guidance stays in the issuer’s own definition. Members get the investment case: catalysts, risks, and the evidence that would change the view. $15/month or $150/year.

$15/mo or $150/yr · cancel future renewals anytime · sources included